
Stop Rolling The Dice!
Investing is too important to leave to chance.
In development for over two years, ODDS Profit Hedge is a service that provides specific, actionable volatility-based option recommendations. Each night our computers search for high-probability trades that have either a bullish or bearish bias. Once we find the trade, we provide you with precise entry instructions and exit instructions. Plus, not only do you get the trade, you get something no other option “guru” dares to provide: allocation advice. That’s right, we actually tell you how much of your buying power to allocate to each and every trade. And if you follow our model portfolio, we tell you how many contracts to trade as well.
The trades we recommend are designed to profit from an anomaly I discovered over a decade ago: Although asset classes tend to mimic the probability distribution implicit in the most widely used option pricing models, many individual stocks don’t. Furthermore, I found that the numerous variations that researchers have created to try to account for this phenomenon fail to properly calculate real world probabilities. My solution: Measure, Don’t Model™.
Because of the incredible database I’ve accumulated over the past decade operating my software, ODDS Online, my team and I are able to perform analysis that others simply can’t. When you combine one of the largest option databases in the world, with my unique way of looking at the market and formulating probabilities, you get incredible results like these shown below:
Year Account Value
Start $ 50,000.00
2000 $ 62,373.75
2001 $ 75,517.50
2002 $ 77,419.50
2003 $ 87,513.50
2004 $101,863.50
2005 $119,683.50
2006 $165,875.50
2007 $229,481.50
2008 $423,836.50
2009 $598,305.50
A detailed look at the test trade-by-trade track record starting with just $10,000 can be found HERE.
For those of you new to options, there is one thing I want to stress. No system should work in all markets. Because we trade volatility, our performance in a high-volatility market should be different than in a low-volatility environment. Well, in the past 5 years, we’ve had both – extreme low volatility from 2004 to 2006, and extreme high volatility in 2007 to 2009. It’s as if the market has given us the world’s most extreme stress test. And yet …
ODDS Profit Hedge has prospered in both types of markets! And we never made a market-direction bet. We’ve already seen this powerful analysis method at work, generating consistent profits with our covered call recommendation service: ODDS Safe Options Alert.
If you’re looking for consistency in all sorts of markets, this service is for you. We do all the work, so you don’t have to. That’s what we mean when we say, “We make options easy!”
-- Don Fishback

